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濡備綍娓畻闆荤窔闆荤簻鎴愭湰

鐧�(f膩)甯冩檪(sh铆)闁擄細

2024-11-19

渚嗘簮锛�

闆荤窔闆荤簻鐨勬垚鏈(g貌u)鎴愮浉灏嶅京(f霉)闆�锛屼富瑕佸寘鎷潗鏂欐垚鏈�銆佺敓鐢�(ch菐n)閬庣▼鎴愭湰鍜岄姺鍞垚鏈�銆傚叾涓�锛屾潗鏂欐垚鏈槸鏈�闂�(gu膩n)閸电殑閮ㄥ垎锛屼富瑕佸寘鎷妳鏉�銆�PVC鑶犳枡銆侀檮浠跺強鍖呰鏉愭枡绛夈�備互涓嬪緸濡備綍鏌ヨ閵呭児(ji脿)鍜岃啝鏂欏児(ji脿)鏍�銆佽▓(j矛)绠椾竴绫抽浕绶氶浕绾滅敤澶氬皯閵呭拰鑶犳枡绛夋柟闈紝瑭崇窗(x矛)鎺㈣◣闆荤窔闆荤簻鎴愭湰鐨勬脯绠楁柟娉�銆�

 

涓�銆佹煡瑭㈤妳鍍�(ji脿)鍜岃啝鏂欏児(ji脿)鏍�

鏌ヨ閵呭児(ji脿)

  • 鏈熻波浜ゆ槗鎵�瀹樼恫(w菐ng)锛�濡傚�暒閲戝爆浜ゆ槗鎵�锛�LME锛�銆佺磹绱勫晢鍝佷氦鏄撴墍锛�COMEX锛夊拰涓婃捣鏈熻波浜ゆ槗鎵�锛�SHFE锛�锛岄�欎簺浜ゆ槗鎵�鎻愪緵瀵�(sh铆)鏅�(sh铆)鐨勯妳鍍�(ji脿)淇℃伅銆�
  • 閲戣瀺淇℃伅鏈嶅嫏(w霉)骞宠嚭(t谩i)锛�濡傚江鍗氾紙Bloomberg锛夈�佽矾閫忥紙Reuters锛夊拰钀緱锛�Wind锛�锛岄�欎簺骞宠嚭(t谩i)鎻愪緵瑭崇窗(x矛)鐨勯噾灞児(ji脿)鏍兼暩(sh霉)鎿�(j霉)锛屼絾閫氬父闇�瑕佽▊闁�銆�
  • 璨�(c谩i)缍�(j墨ng)鏂拌仦缍�(w菐ng)绔欙細濡傛柊娴病(c谩i)缍�(j墨ng)銆佹澅鏂硅病(c谩i)瀵岀恫(w菐ng)鍜岄洩鐞冪瓑锛岄�欎簺缍�(w菐ng)绔欎篃鏈�(hu矛)瀵�(sh铆)鏅�(sh铆)鏇存柊閵呭児(ji脿)淇℃伅锛岄仼鍚堟櫘閫氭姇璩囪�呬娇鐢�銆�
  • 鎵嬫(j墨)鎳�(y墨ng)鐢ㄧ▼搴忥細濡�“鍚岃姳闋�”銆�“澶ф櫤鎱�”鍜�“闆悆”绛�锛岄�欎簺鎳�(y墨ng)鐢ㄦ彁渚涘(sh铆)鏅�(sh铆)鐨勯妳鍍�(ji脿)鏌ヨ鍔熻兘锛屾柟渚跨敤鎴堕毃鏅�(sh铆)闅ㄥ湴鏌ョ湅閵呭児(ji脿)銆�

鏌ヨ鑶犳枡鍍�(ji脿)鏍�

  • 琛屾キ(y猫)缍�(w菐ng)绔欏拰灏堟キ(y猫)骞宠嚭(t谩i)锛�濡備笂娴锋湡璨ㄤ氦鏄撴墍锛�SHFE锛夊拰澶ч�ｅ晢鍝佷氦鏄撴墍锛�DCE锛夌瓑瀹樻柟缍�(w菐ng)绔欙紝浠ュ強涓�浜涚涓夋柟閲戣瀺淇℃伅鏈嶅嫏(w霉)骞宠嚭(t谩i)锛屽Wind銆佸悓鑺遍爢绛�锛屾彁渚涘(sh铆)鏅�(sh铆)鐨勮啝鏂欏児(ji脿)鏍间俊鎭�銆�
  • 鏂拌仦濯掗珨鍜岃病(c谩i)缍�(j墨ng)鍫�(b脿o)閬擄細璨�(c谩i)缍�(j墨ng)鏂拌仦濯掗珨鍜屽皥妤�(y猫)璨�(c谩i)缍�(j墨ng)缍�(w菐ng)绔欑稉(j墨ng)甯哥櫦(f膩)甯冮棞(gu膩n)浜庤啝鏂欏児(ji脿)鏍肩殑鏈�鏂板嫊(d貌ng)鎱�(t脿i)锛岄�氶亷瑷傞柋閫欎簺濯掗珨鐨勮硣瑷婃湇鍕�(w霉)锛屽彲浠ュ強鏅�(sh铆)鐛插彇甯傚牬鍍�(ji脿)鏍艰畩鍖栫殑淇℃伅銆�
  • 琛屾キ(y猫)鍗�(xi茅)鏈�(hu矛)鍜岀爺绌跺牨(b脿o)鍛婏細姗¤啝琛屾キ(y猫)鍗�(xi茅)鏈�(hu矛)鍜屽競鍫寸爺绌舵(j墨)妲�(g貌u)鏈�(hu矛)瀹氭湡鐧�(f膩)甯冮棞(gu膩n)浜庢鑶犲競鍫寸殑鐮旂┒鍫�(b脿o)鍛�锛岄�欎簺鍫�(b脿o)鍛婇�氬父鍖呭惈瑭崇窗(x矛)鐨勭従(xi脿n)璨ㄥ児(ji脿)鏍煎垎鏋愬拰闋�(y霉)娓�銆�

 

浜屻�佽▓(j矛)绠椾竴绫抽浕绶氶浕绾滅敤澶氬皯閵呭拰鑶犳枡

瑷�(j矛)绠椾竴绫抽浕绶氶浕绾滅敤澶氬皯閵�

  • 瑷�(j矛)绠楅妳鐨勯噸閲忥細閵呯殑閲嶉噺 = 閵呯殑瀵嗗害锛�0.0089锛�× 閵呯挡鐨勯珨绌嶃�傞妳绲茬殑楂旂⿳ = 闈㈢⿳ × 楂樺害锛岄潰绌� = 3.14 × 鍗婂緫鐨勫钩鏂广�備緥濡傦紝BV2.5骞虫柟鐨勯妳绶�锛屽叾鎴潰绌嶇偤2.5骞虫柟姣背锛岄�氶亷娓噺閵呯挡鐨勭洿寰�锛屽彲浠ヨ▓(j矛)绠楀嚭鍗婂緫锛岄��(j矛n)鑰岃▓(j矛)绠楀嚭闈㈢⿳鍜岄珨绌�锛屾渶绲傚緱鍒伴妳鐨勯噸閲�銆�
  • 瑷�(j矛)绠楅妳鐨勬垚鏈細閵呯殑鎴愭湰 = 閵呯殑閲嶉噺 × 閵呯殑鍍�(ji脿)鏍�

 

瑷�(j矛)绠椾竴绫抽浕绶氶浕绾滅敤澶氬皯鑶犳枡

  • 绲曠罚鐢ㄩ噺锛氱禃绶ｇ敤閲忕殑瑷�(j矛)绠楀叕寮忕偤锛�D2锛�× 0.7854 × G × C × K2锛屽叾涓�D鐐虹禃绶ｅ寰�锛�d鐐哄皫(d菐o)楂斿寰�锛�G鐐虹禃绶ｆ瘮閲�锛�K2鐐鸿姱绶氱禐鍏ョ巼锛�C鐐虹禃绶ｈ姱绶氭牴鏁�(sh霉)銆�
  • 澶栬鐢ㄩ噺锛氬琚敤閲忕殑瑷�(j矛)绠楀叕寮忕偤锛�D12锛�× 0.7854 × G锛屽叾涓�D1鐐哄畬鎴愬寰戯紝D鐐轰笂閬庣▼澶栧緫锛�G鐐虹禃绶ｆ瘮閲嶃��
  • 瑷�(j矛)绠楄啝鏂欑殑鎴愭湰锛氳啝鏂欑殑鎴愭湰 = 绲曠罚鐢ㄩ噺 × 绲曠罚鑶犳枡鐨勫児(ji脿)鏍� + 澶栬鐢ㄩ噺 × 澶栬鑶犳枡鐨勫児(ji脿)鏍�銆�

 

涓夈�侀浕绶氶浕绾滄垚鏈殑绺介珨娓畻
  • 闆荤窔闆荤簻鐨勭附鎴愭湰 = 鏉愭枡鎴愭湰 + 鐢熺敘(ch菐n)閬庣▼鎴愭湰 + 閵峰敭鎴愭湰銆�
  • 鏉愭枡鎴愭湰锛氬寘鎷妳鏉愩��PVC鑶犳枡銆侀檮浠跺強鍖呰鏉愭枡绛�锛屾牴鎿�(j霉)鍓嶉潰鐨勮▓(j矛)绠楀緱鍑�銆�
  • 鐢熺敘(ch菐n)閬庣▼鎴愭湰锛氬寘鎷伐钘濆埗绋嬮亷绋嬶紙濡傛媺绶�銆佹垚鍨�銆佹娓�佸寘瑁濈瓑锛変互鍙婅垏鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鏈夐棞(gu膩n)鐨勬(j墨)姊版垚鏈紙濡傚鎺ユ(j墨)銆佹媺绶氭(j墨)銆佹垚鍨嬫(j墨)绛夛級
  • 閵峰敭鎴愭湰锛氫竴鑸寘鎷姺鍞汉鍝＄殑钖叕銆侀姺鍞偔閲�銆佸叕闂�(gu膩n)璨�(f猫i)鐢�銆佸唬鍛婅不(f猫i)鐢ㄧ瓑銆�

 

閫氶亷鏌ヨ閵呭児(ji脿)鍜岃啝鏂欏児(ji脿)鏍�锛岃▓(j矛)绠椾竴绫抽浕绶氶浕绾滅敤澶氬皯閵呭拰鑶犳枡锛岀祼(ji茅)鍚堝叾浠栨垚鏈洜绱�锛屽彲浠ヨ純鐐烘簴(zh菙n)纰哄湴娓畻鍑洪浕绶氶浕绾滅殑鎴愭湰銆傞�欏皪浜庨浕绶氶浕绾滅殑鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鍟嗗拰閵峰敭鍟嗕締瑾紝鍏锋湁閲嶈鐨勬寚灏�(d菐o)鎰忕京锛屾湁鍔╀簬鍒跺畾鍚堢悊鐨勫児(ji脿)鏍肩瓥鐣�锛屾彁楂樺競鍫寸鐖姏銆�